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<text id=93TT0052>
<title>
Oct 18, 1993: Here Comes The Sun
</title>
<history>
TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1993
Oct. 18, 1993 What in The World Are We Doing?
</history>
<article>
<source>Time Magazine</source>
<hdr>
ENERGY, Page 84
Here Comes The Sun
</hdr>
<body>
<p>After a slow start, solar power seems poised to light up the
world--and utilities are getting the message
</p>
<p>By JOHN GREENWALD--Reported by Jonathan Beaty/Ukiah
</p>
<p> Solar power was an exotic new technology when John Schaeffer
graduated from the University of California, Berkeley, in 1972
and helped start a primitive commune in the woods of northern
California. But he was a tinkerer, and in his spare time he
managed to rig up a solar-powered television set so he wouldn't
have to miss his favorite shows. Soon Schaeffer was selling
solar panels to his fellow urban refugees at a time when, he
recalls, "only dope growers could afford them." Today Schaeffer's
beard has become a white goatee, and his Real Goods Trading
Co. has blossomed into a catalog operation that is the country's
largest retailer of home solar equipment. The growth of Real
Goods--sales have jumped from $29,000 in 1986 to $10 million
this year--is a small but sharp tremor along the shifting
tectonic plates of America's energy landscape.
</p>
<p> Until now, solar energy has appealed mostly to affluent homeowners
and self-described tree huggers--the save-the-environment
folks. That's because buying and installing solar equipment
can cost $15,000 for an average-size home before any current
starts to flow. "Even Edison first electrified the homes of
his wealthy investors, so the high-end client has always been
fertile ground," says Steven Strong, whose firm, Solar Design
Associates, based in Harvard, Massachusetts, is among the country's
leading designers of solar homes.
</p>
<p> To broaden the market, Strong set out to design an all-solar
neighborhood of 30 working-class houses and eight commercial
buildings in Gardner, Massachusetts, that opened in 1986. Sponsored
by New England Electric Systems utility company, the project
offers a glimpse of the day when solar-run homes could become
as common as split-level houses. Solar power already helps heat
and light more than 100,000 U.S. houses. And this week Real
Goods is sponsoring a tour of homes from Maine to California
that have all their energy needs met by sun, wind or water power.
</p>
<p> What's making solar energy so hot? For one thing, the technology
is getting better and cheaper. The price of the photovoltaic
cells that convert sunlight to electricity has fallen precipitously
from $500 a watt in the 1960s to about $4 today. Companies are
now rushing to break the $2 barrier, which would reduce the
residential cost of solar electricity from 30 cents per kWh
to near the 12 cents average price of electricity in California.
Leading contestants in the scramble are Texas Instruments and
Southern California Edison, which have joined forces to produce
flexible solar panels from inexpensive low-grade silicon by
1994. The innovative technology will allow the panels to be
integrated into car and building design and, even more important,
will crash the price to $2.50 a watt.
</p>
<p> As the price of solar technology has plummeted, the political
climate has improved. While Jimmy Carter created tax breaks
to spur solar development, Ronald Reagan viewed the incentives
as government meddling in the energy business and unceremoniously
scrapped them. In a symbolic move, Reagan also took down the
solar panels Carter had installed on the roof of the White House.
(The Clinton Administration is considering whether to put up
new ones.) "Reagan took the steam and momentum out of solar
and other forms of renewable energy development for a good 10
years," says Strong.
</p>
<p> Some of the biggest boosters of solar power are bound to be
utility companies, eager for a clean source of electricity that
will enable them to produce more power without new billion-dollar
plants. Both as consumers of solar technology and as the promoters
of home solar panels, utilities will drive much of the industry's
growth into the next century. "Utilities are beginning to realize
that they're going to have to get on the solar bandwagon," says
S. David Freeman, general manager of the Sacramento Municipal
Utility District (SMUD). "If they don't and rates go up sharply,
people are going to buy their own solar panels and pull the
plug on the utilities." His company embraced alternative energy
when rate payers voted to close its troubled nuclear facility
in 1989.
</p>
<p> Last month 68 utilities, from New York City's Consolidated Edison
to San Francisco's Pacific Gas & Electric, formed a consortium
to purchase $500 million worth of solar panels over the next
six years. These utilities, which serve 40% of the country's
electric customers, hope solar power can help replace aging
plants that will begin phasing out by the end of the decade.
Says Scott Sklar, director of the Solar Energy Industries Association,
which represents more than 500 U.S. solar-equipment makers:
"This will allow the solar industry to double its manufacturing
capacity and acquire new capital to ramp up new production."
That in turn will reduce manufacturing costs.
</p>
<p> No utility is more enthusiastic about letting the sun shine
in than SMUD, which is putting solar cells on 100 residential
roofs a year as part of a five-year pilot project. Homeowners
pay nothing for the installation but see a 15% surcharge on
their monthly bills to help defray the cost. Even so, the chance
to become a solar citizen has enticed more volunteers than SMUD
can accommodate. Encouraged by the response, the utility has
ordered 100,000 more solar panels, enough to generate electricity
for 2,400 homes, and is purchasing land for a 100-MW solar furnace
that would rival the size of standard power plants.
</p>
<p> What SMUD is doing parallels what developing countries have
been up to for more than a decade. These nations, which cannot
afford to build costly nuclear or fossil-fuel plants in rural
areas, now buy nearly two-thirds of all solar panels produced
in the U.S. "In Mexico there are 28 million people without electricity,
and Mexico has the most ambitious solar electrification program
in the world," says Sklar. Elsewhere, India and Zimbabwe are
using World Bank financing to light up remote areas with solar
power; India is installing photovoltaic systems in 38,000 villages,
and Zimbabwe is bringing sun power to 2,500 villages.
</p>
<p> In the U.S., where there is little government help, the Real
Goods catalog has become the bible of America's environmentally
aware set. With a circulation of 400,000, the catalog offers
everything for the energy-efficient home, including composting
toilets, solar radios and wind generators in addition to solar
equipment. Hot-selling items include fold-up solar panels the
size of a briefcase that can power laptop computers. Technicians
at Real Goods headquarters in Ukiah, California, stand ready
to handle customers' questions and help plan alternative energy
systems over the phone.
</p>
<p> But the era of solar power will have to wait for the cost of
converting sunlight to fall far enough to pay for the cost of
installing a system. "Solar is competitive now if you take the
long view," says SMUD general manager Freeman. "And it's going
to be highly competitive by the end of the decade." If he's
right, the forecast for the industry in the 21st century is
bright and sunny.
</p>
</body>
</article>
</text>